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However, this paper argues the current focus on the changing nature of the oil market is largely misplaced. For example, in a period of low oil prices, countries highly dependent on oil revenues may cut back on various infrastructure projects and other forms of investment spending causing their fiscal break-even price to fall in the short run. There is wide range of estimates of the point at which oil demand is likely to peak. One key implication of this paradigm shift is its impact on long-run price trends. In the short run, this instability is likely to manifest in large and persistent fiscal deficits, causing reserves to run down and debt to increase. Home Energy economics Spencer Dale Peak oil demand and long-run prices. In particular, that oil prices will tend towards the cost of extracting the marginal barrel of oil. Over the past 35 years or so, for every barrel of oil consumed, two have been added to estimates of Proved Oil Reserves 7. Cookies also allow us and third parties to tailor the ads you see when you visit our site and other third party websites in the same online network, including social networks.

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