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Hello! Project

Another Stab At The Musumes In America Debate

Posted by Ray Mescallado on 11.20.07 | 27 Comments | Print This Post Print This Post

Before you start, it’s best to read the following posts first, since I’m responding to them and their comments:

I love CJ like a brother, and don’t mind if he considers me one of the “elitist assholes who want to keep their little musical discoveries to themselves rather than share them with the world”. I don’t think I’m an elitist, and I certainly want as many people to listen to H!P as possible.

That said, I also want millions of people to read the comics of Matt Howarth and the poetry of Sharon Olds, but know that won’t happen. Put simply, there are many things we want to happen, but the right circumstances have to be in place and the obstacles to the goal have to be assessed realistically. CJ seems to think that I’m not a true fan because I don’t share his optimism. I prefer to think of myself as being realistic.

Before going any further, I think it’s necessary to establish one important aspect of the argument. When we talk about Morning Musume or Hello! Project coming to America, what exactly does that mean? A full concert tour, with singles released for an American audience - that is, a full line of performances and product made specifically for a Stateside audience? Or something more limited, say a few small shows and events to promote American translations of their Japanese offerings? Or how about something even more limited, like doing an appearance at a major anime convention to peddle their latest import-or-U.S.-iTunes-only release?

There’s huge differences in logistics for each, and I don’t believe Morning Musume would do well in America if they tour and try to sell singles here. That’s the scope I’m getting from Radicalpatriot’s post, and I think that’s what CJ means as well. I do think that the anime convention route is feasible, and will explain why at the end. But for now, I want to focus on the big ticket dream, the idea of Morning Musume - if not all of Hello! Project - preparing to do a full concert the way they do in Japan, and selling their singles in American stores and getting radio airplay.

Now, the only argument I made on the Intl Wota post was that corporate interests would find a poor cost-to-benefit ratio in taking Morning Musume to America. I’m standing by that: from a purely commercial perspective, Morning Musume are “a Menudo-like girl group selling a fraction of what they sold at their peak”. There are other artists with better current track records that Sony Japan could promote if they wanted. However, as I said, I don’t think Morning Musume have a chance of touring America in a major way and getting airplay on American stations - I’m with pengie and wu-san on that point.

So with that in mind, let’s tackle the points CJ addresses in his post, as they’re very much on-topic with the debate taking place.

First, CJ refutes the idea that “Momusu are on a decline” by saying they’re still the biggest selling girl group in Japan. That’s true, but that just means girl groups in general are also on a decline, as were music sales in general. The numbers speak for themselves: the sales of Morning Musume singles seven years ago were in the millions, and there was a steady downward spiral for several years, and now it seems to have stabilized in the past year or so at fifty thousand.

If you don’t call sales from seven digit figures to mid-five digit figures a decline, what do you call it? And it’s not like there aren’t artists out there still selling considerably better - solo divas such as Hamasaki Ayumi and Koda Kumi and Amuro Namie are doing great and still getting mainstream notice and setting trends. Sadly, Morning Musume and DRM and AKB48 are not having the same kind of impact as the divas; we’re a long ways from the days of Speed dominating the charts.

To me, it’s a simple fact: Morning Musume sales dropped considerably from their peak, and they rely now on a hardcore fan base instead of the mainstream Japanese music audience. Actually, most all girl groups now rely on a similar (if not the exact same) fan base to carry them. In Japan, girl groups are now a boutique industry that caters to the wota audience, much the same way the declining American comics market catered to its fanboy audience in the last quarter of the twentieth century (that’s still the best analogy I can muster). I personally don’t have a problem with that, mostly because I’m a wota myself and also because it shows an admirable ability to adapt to changing circumstances.

(Wait, there’s one seeming exception: Perfume. At least, they seem to be trying different tactics from other girl groups. But they’re still not faring as well as Momusu, I think.)

Now, are Morning Musume on an artistic decline? I don’t think so; if anything, I’ll argue for a minor renaissance with eighth gen’s debut. But art and commerce rarely match one another perfectly. Noting the decline of Morning Musume is not meant to disparage what they’ve accomplished; rather, it points out where they stand in the commercial food chain of the Japanese music industry.

Second, CJ addresses the notion that there won’t be an interest in an underage singing group, pointing out that evidence to the contrary. Well, that’s not quite the argument I was hearing. There’s no doubt there’s a market for underage singers in America - but here’s where the cultural disconnect becomes crucial, in my opinion. What I get from this point is that the nature of this particular underage singing group - this Japanese idol group - would alienate American audiences.

Put simply, Japanese attitudes to teenage sexuality are different from American attitudes, and it leads to different expectations and audiences. I’ve been saying this for a long time now - you might as well read or re-read that link, because I’m not going to regurgitate it here. That difference is one of the things that most fascinates me about Japanese idol culture, intellectually as well as emotionally. Not only am I intrigued at the idea of fifteen-year-olds doing bikini photobooks, I enjoy some of those books as a fan. Unfortunately, that just doesn’t happen in America, so I turn to Japan for that fix.

In general, American culture is schizophrenic about underage sexuality: while obsessed with youth and youthful sensuality, there’s also a knee-jerk fear of crossing the line and advocating teens exploring their sexual identities. Britney Spears may have had a hit dressed up as a naughty schoolgirl, but there was a huge furor surrounding her as well, very much along the line of how it’ll effect children. For the most part, underage performers are going to follow the High School Musical mold of being antiseptic and safe for kids and ultimately of little interest to the adult audience. The demarcation line of the Nickelodeon / Disney tween entertainment empire has been noted in many articles: “If you haven’t heard of [fill in the blank], then you’re probably over eighteen because all the kids know and love them even if adults have no clue who they are.”

The way Morning Musume are currently marketed would raise a huge stink in America among those who wish to “protect the children” - both the kids in the audience and the kids on stage, in this case. These are teenage girls appealing to an audience that’s primarily adult men. Try telling an American who isn’t well-versed in Japanese pop culture about the obsessive fans, the bikini photobooks, the costumes the girls wear, and see what they think about it.

There was a recent incident in Florida where some homeless guy was found with a bunch of Junior Idol DVDs - including one by Irie Saaya - and it was branded kiddie porn by the media. (What a homeless guy was doing with DVDs, I have no idea. Did he have a DVD viewer with him as well?) Keith Olbermann had that memorable piece way-back-when where he expressed disdain for Morning Musume based on a YouTube clip of the Musumes wearing pork chops on their heads to tempt a lizard. So, explaining the distinction between Irie Saaya and say, Koharu’s POP to an outsider will sound like a lot of pointless hair-splitting and even defending pedophilia. Further, claiming “It’s a Japanese thing and you just don’t understand” won’t cut it if the girls are trying to make in-roads to American audience. After all, if Hannah Montana had as visible an older male audience as Morning Musume does, there’d be hell to pay.

Last but not least, CJ addresses the language issue. Saying that many overseas Jpop fans don’t understand Japanese but like it anyway is beside the point; we’re a self-selecting group who know what we’re getting into, like people who watch subtitled foreign movies. And even among fans of anime, English is preferred to Japanese - dub has historically sold much better than sub. The people who cosplay and go to cons aren’t the whole market, there’s the kids who simply like watching the funny cartoons on TV and don’t want to bother with a different language to enjoy it. As for the Japanese listening to English language music - well, that’s cultural imperialism for you. Not to be flippant about it, but English is the lingua franca for pop culture. Japanese isn’t.

As for using a song from 1963 as proof that Japanese language songs would be accepted in America, I don’t buy it. If it’s the only example - and one that’s even older than me or CJ - that seems to be the exception that proves the rule, not a pattern of future possibilities. I think it’s better to consider it a novelty song, capitalizing on the exoticism of the language choice, than evidence that there is a mainstream audience who want Japanese language music. If there was a regular stream of Japanese language music selling in America, as there is for Spanish language music, I’d be more easily persuaded.

However, this line of reasoning strikes me as beside the point anyway: CJ and some others assume Morning Musume would stick with singing in Japanese if they want to break into the American market. Never mind whether or not there’s an audience for Japanese language music, would management even allow such a venture without having English language songs to maximize their chances? Again taking it from a corporate standpoint, English lessons would have to take place if they’re going to be serious about building a large audience in the United States.

When Pink Lady tried to break onto the American charts, they went with English; Utada Hikaru did the same, and I’m willing to bet BoA will do the same thing next year. On the other hand, I’m pretty sure Dir en grey didn’t bother with English when they toured America - but Dir en grey aren’t going for mainstream success.

Now, having said all that, I’ll argue that Hello! Project does have a chance of breaking into the American market… but only if they stick with the anime otaku niche. They’re perfect for it, and I suspect they may be priming themselves already. I’m guessing that all the anime tie-ins in the past couple years are going to lead to some of these smaller H!P units - Koharu, Kira Pika, Buono!, Athena & Robikerottsu - being invited to anime conventions. And they’d be foolish not to accept.

Certainly, the logistics and cost-to-benefits arguments are easier to make here. It’s easier to bring three or four girls over than nine, and all they’ll need for a con appearance is a microphone and backup music and a spare weekend in their schedule. The rorikon U15 aspect won’t be nearly as much of an issue with that crowd. There’ll be a ton of merchandise they can peddle, from photos to DVDs to whatever else, and anime fans aren’t that much stranger than Japanese wota. Well, maybe a different kind of strange, but whatever. If they pick the right venue in the right city, they can even bring a tour of Japanese wota with them, just as they do to Oahu on a regular basis.

And perhaps best of all, this otaku audience scenario is a world where Koharu is the queen of Hello! Project, the person by which American audiences will recognize H!P and all its goodness. (At least, she’s top of the H!P anime heap right now.) Who knows? If Morning Musume does an anime theme song or two, maybe they’ll break into the otaku market too. Or maybe Koharu would become so popular with Kirarin Revolution that the other eight girls can follow her to Anime Expo or Otakon as “Koharu Kusumi and Her Morning Musume”. I kinda like the ring of that. “Aika Mitsui and Her Morning Musume” has a better ring to it, though.

I find the idea that Hello! Project - if not Morning Musume in particular - can be big fish in the small pond of the American otaku market believable and do-able. I do not find the idea that Morning Musume can become even small fish in the large pond of American mainstream music is at all feasible. And to bring the argument back to the beginning, I’m betting the people who hold the purse strings probably feel the same way. For me, at least, the pragmatism of the corporate backers are what determines the reality of these arguments.

I do think there are Japanese music acts who have seriously great chances of breaking into the American market if they want to. Right off the top of my head, I think Amuro Namie, the Brilliant Green, L’Arc en Ciel, and Bennie K could all become serious forces in American music with a little bit of preparation and the right backing from their companies. I’m not so sure about Gackt, though he’s very subtly making his presence felt. I’m not as sure about BoA either, though it may be because I’m not a fan. As for Hikki’s next attempt, I’m not a fan but she’s got some experience now. We’ll see how it goes.

The great part about this raging debate is that it does feel less hypothetical now than it did the last time it popped up. Not only are more Japanese acts making it to America, but H!P in particular seems to be following a strategy that’s in keeping with this trend. I would love to read what other people have to say, as I know we’re only hitting the tip of the iceberg here, and I’m sure I missed a few salient points.

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